Live odds and prediction markets on US politics — the administration, Congress, approval and policy on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live US Politics markets right now (updated October 2026). As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket US Politics market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”, where Kamala Harris is the favorite at 7% implied odds on $29.0K of 24h volume.
US Politics markets cover the machinery of Washington beyond any single candidate: presidential and congressional approval thresholds, cabinet and court appointments, the fate of specific bills, and debt-ceiling and shutdown deadlines. Prices are live implied probabilities that re-rate as votes, nominations and deadlines approach.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a poll swing, a debate or breaking news re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live us politics odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest us politics traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket US Politics market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”, where Kamala Harris is the favorite at 7% implied odds on $29.0K of 24h volume.
| # | Market | Current odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Kamala Harris7%Hunter Biden0% Open |
The wallets with the most realized profit inside US Politics markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | US Politics PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Theo4 | +$6.46M |
| 2 | Len9311238 | +$2.21M |
| 3 | mikatrade77 |
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live US Politics odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full US Politics trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) |
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
| 2 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes4%+1 Open$2.5K 24h |
| 3 | Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027? Yes1%+1 Open$1.5K 24h |
| 4 | Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? Yes1%+1 Open$610 24h |
| 5 | How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala? 239%320%+5 Open$447 24h |
| 6 | Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? Yes0%+1 Open$344 24h |
| 7 | Kamala Harris 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes1%+1 Open$188 24h |
| 8 | Will Michael Harris II win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? Yes3%+1 Open$162 24h |
| 9 | Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York? Yes48%+1 Open$100 24h |
| 10 | Will Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon? Yes96%+1 Open$100 24h |
| 11 | Will Keisha Lance Bottoms underperform Kamala in Georgia? Yes37%+1 Open$98 24h |
| 12 | 2026 Harris County Judge Election Winner Letitia Plummer90%Orlando Sanchez7% Open$92 24h |
| 13 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes33%+1 Open$59 24h |
| 14 | Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes4%+1 Open$53 24h |
| 15 | Democratic VP Nominee 2028 Kamala Harris1%Hunter Biden1% Open$51 24h |
| +$1.77M |
| 4 | RepTrump | +$1.74M |
| 5 | alexmulti | +$1.69M |
| Included |
| Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on US Politics markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every US Politics trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |