Live odds and prediction markets on Donald Trump — 2028, approval ratings, legal cases and policy on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Trump markets right now (updated October 2026). As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Trump market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?”, where No is the favorite at 98% implied odds on $107K of 24h volume.
Trump markets are among the most actively traded on Polymarket. They run from longer-dated outrights — the 2028 Republican nomination and presidential-race odds — to shorter-horizon markets on approval-rating thresholds, legal and indictment outcomes, and specific policy or executive actions. Each is priced on live implied odds that move as polling, court schedules and news break.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a poll swing, a debate or breaking news re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live trump odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest trump traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Trump market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?”, where No is the favorite at 98% implied odds on $107K of 24h volume.
| # | Market | Current odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes2%+1 Open$107K 24h |
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Trump markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Trump odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Trump trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) |
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
| 2 | Trump out as President before 2027? Yes5%+1 Open$72.8K 24h |
| 3 | Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? China77%No meeting by December 3117%+4 Open$29.1K 24h |
| 4 | Presidential Election Winner 2028 Donald Trump1%Ivanka Trump1%+1 Open$5.0K 24h |
| 5 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes8%+1 Open$5.0K 24h |
| 6 | Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Donald Trump2%Donald Trump Jr.2% Open$4.4K 24h |
| 7 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? Yes21%+1 Open$3.8K 24h |
| 8 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? Yes5%+1 Open$3.4K 24h |
| 9 | Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 23 - October 30, 2026? 200+33%120-13917%+1 Open$2.7K 24h |
| 10 | Trump goes to space in 2026? Yes2%+1 Open$2.4K 24h |
| 11 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes5%+1 Open$2.3K 24h |
| 12 | Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil? Flávio Bolsonaro7%Ronaldo Caiado3%+1 Open$2.2K 24h |
| 13 | Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Michigan not air? Yes1%+1 Open$2.2K 24h |
| 14 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? Yes88%+1 Open$1.7K 24h |
| 15 | Will Trump resign before 2027? Yes2%+1 Open$1.6K 24h |
| +$11.4M |
| 4 | walletmobile | +$5.94M |
| 5 | Len9311238 | +$5.57M |
| Included |
| Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Trump markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Trump trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |