Live odds and prediction markets on elections — presidential, Senate, House, primaries and races worldwide on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Elections markets right now (updated October 2026). As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Elections market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms”, where Democrats Sweep is the favorite at 67% implied odds on $3.47M of 24h volume.
Election markets are Polymarket's flagship category. They span the US presidential race, control of the Senate and House, individual primaries and nominee boards, and major international elections — often as multi-candidate outrights where every contender is priced on one board. Odds move live with polling, debates and results.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a poll swing, a debate or breaking news re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live elections odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest elections traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Elections market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms”, where Democrats Sweep is the favorite at 67% implied odds on $3.47M of 24h volume.
| # | Market | Current odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Democrats Sweep67%R Senate, D House26%+2 Open |
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Elections markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Elections PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fredi9999 | +$2.90M |
| 2 | PrincessCaro | +$2.30M |
| 3 | Theo4 |
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Elections odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Elections trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) |
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
| 2 | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory Flávio Bolsonaro <4%39%Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%37%+4 Open$675K 24h |
| 3 | Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia72%Student List – Students Win28% Open$509K 24h |
| 4 | Texas Senate Election Winner James Talarico (D)64%Ken Paxton (R)37% Open$288K 24h |
| 5 | Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Democratic Party68%Republican Party33% Open$216K 24h |
| 6 | Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Gavin Newsom17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%+4 Open$187K 24h |
| 7 | Next French Presidential Election Marine Le Pen46%Édouard Philippe17%+6 Open$173K 24h |
| 8 | Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Ron DeSantis3%Thomas Massie1%+1 Open$161K 24h |
| 9 | Bulgaria Presidential Election Iliana Iotova88%Аndrey Gyurov13% Open$129K 24h |
| 10 | Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory Iotova 10-20%60%Iotova <10%23%+6 Open$126K 24h |
| 11 | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá Flavio Bolsonaro67%Lula33% Open$125K 24h |
| 12 | Michigan Senate Election Winner Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%Mike Rogers (R)30% Open$121K 24h |
| 13 | Presidential Election Winner 2028 Gavin Newsom10%Jon Ossoff9%+1 Open$113K 24h |
| 14 | Israeli Legislative Election Winner Yashar70%Likud31%+1 Open$81.5K 24h |
| 15 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes3%+1 Open$77.7K 24h |
| +$1.40M |
| 4 | BetTom42 | +$1.24M |
| 5 | 0xa3a4… | +$1.22M |
| Included |
| Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Elections markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Elections trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |