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Polynyx · Independent Polymarket analytics, smart money tracking & $POLY airdrop checker · Not affiliated with Polymarket.

PolynyxEconomics
Live odds · updated October 2026

Polymarket Economics — Live Odds & Prediction Markets

Live odds and prediction markets across the economy on Polymarket — the Fed and rates, inflation and jobs, recession and the stock market, sorted by what's hottest right now.

Polymarket runs live prediction markets across 3 economic markets right now — Fed & Rates, Macro, Markets — each priced in real-time implied odds. Updated October 2026.

Open the live economics gridTop economics traders

Fed & Rates

FOMC decisions · rate-path · dot plot

All Fed & Rates odds
  1. 1Fed Decision in October?No change95%25 bps increase6%+1 more$2.43M24h vol
    No change95%25 bps increase6%+1 more

Macro

CPI & inflation · jobs & unemployment · GDP & growth

All Macro odds
  1. 1Argentina Monthly Inflation - October1.6 to 1.8%55%1.9 to 2.1%34%+6 more$5.6K24h vol
    1.6 to 1.8%55%1.9 to 2.1%34%+6 more

Markets

S&P 500 levels · Nasdaq & indices · year-end close

All Markets odds
  1. 1Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?Yes3%+1 more$8.1K24h vol
    Yes3%+1 more
  2. 2Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?

Betting on economics with Polymarket prediction markets

Polymarket is a prediction market, not a sportsbook: instead of fixed sportsbook lines, every economics outcome trades as a share whose price is the crowd's live implied probability. A favorite at 70¢ is the market's 70% pick; back the other side and you're buying the underdog cheap. When the result lands, winning shares pay $1.

Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: these pages pull the same live Polymarket odds and 24h volume as the interactive economics grid, show which wallets are trading each market, and rank the sharpest economics traders on the leaderboard. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.

Polymarket economics — frequently asked

What economic markets can I bet on with Polymarket?
Polymarket runs prediction markets across Fed & Rates, Macro, Markets and more. Polynyx lists every live market with real-time implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first, and links each to its full market page.
How do economics prediction markets work on Polymarket?
Each outcome trades as a share priced between 0¢ and 100¢ — the price is the market's implied probability. Winning shares settle at $1 and losing shares at $0 when the event resolves, so the odds and the payout are a single number. Prices move live as traders buy and sell.
Are Polymarket economics odds live?
Yes. Polynyx reads live Polymarket prices, so the implied odds and 24h volume on these pages update in real time — and game-line markets swing in-play as the match is being played.

Tracking live Polymarket markets across 3 economic markets right now — $2.62M of combined 24h volume in the sampled set. Updated October 2026.

2
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase74%No change21%+3 more
$64.2K24h vol
25 bps increase74%No change21%+3 more
  • 3Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes75%+1 more$45.2K24h vol
    Yes75%+1 more
  • 4Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike74%Hike–Pause–Pause21%+2 more$29.7K24h vol
    Hike–Pause–Hike74%Hike–Pause–Pause21%+2 more
  • 2
    Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
    3.0-3.5%42%3.5%+28%+6 more
    $3.1K24h vol
    3.0-3.5%42%3.5%+28%+6 more
  • 3Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes14%+1 more$2.9K24h vol
    Yes14%+1 more
  • 4US recession by end of 2026?Yes9%+1 more$2.8K24h vol
    Yes9%+1 more
  • Yes
    22%
    +1 more
    $1.8K24h vol
    Yes22%+1 more
  • 3Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Yes10%+1 more$91624h vol
    Yes10%+1 more
  • 4S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?Up51%Down49%$65024h vol
    Up51%Down49%