Live odds and prediction markets on the stock market — the S&P 500, Nasdaq and index milestones on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Markets markets right now (updated October 2026). As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Markets market is “Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?”, where No is the favorite at 98% implied odds on $8.0K of 24h volume.
The Markets category prices equity-index outcomes: whether the S&P 500, Nasdaq or Dow close above or below a level by a date, year-end targets, new all-time highs, and drawdown or correction markets. Each is a live implied probability that moves with the tape and the macro calendar.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a jobs report, a CPI print or a Fed decision re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live markets odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest markets traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Markets market is “Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?”, where No is the favorite at 98% implied odds on $8.0K of 24h volume.
| # | Market | Current odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026? Yes2%+1 Open$8.0K 24h |
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Markets markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Markets PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x06b2… | +$148K |
| 2 | cryptothan | +$147K |
| 3 | KiAr |
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Markets odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Markets trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) |
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
| 2 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October? Yes23%+1 Open$1.8K 24h |
| 3 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes10%+1 Open$916 24h |
| 4 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26? Down52%Up48% Open$650 24h |
| 5 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October? Yes7%+1 Open$624 24h |
| 6 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October? Yes51%+1 Open$555 24h |
| 7 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? Yes2%+1 Open$506 24h |
| 8 | Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026? Yes39%+1 Open$461 24h |
| 9 | Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026? Yes17%+1 Open$454 24h |
| 10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October? Yes8%+1 Open$430 24h |
| 11 | CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? Yes28%+1 Open$382 24h |
| 12 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? Yes4%+1 Open$333 24h |
| 13 | What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026? >$8,00038%$7,000-$7,50030%+4 Open$319 24h |
| 14 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? Yes12%+1 Open$300 24h |
| 15 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes4%+1 Open$290 24h |
| +$133K |
| 4 | nbab | +$24.4K |
| 5 | Ksnvuxgvs | +$22.9K |
| Included |
| Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Markets markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Markets trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |