Live odds and prediction markets across US politics on Polymarket — Trump, elections, Congress and geopolitics, sorted by what's hottest right now.
Polymarket runs live prediction markets across 4 political markets right now — Elections, Geopolitics, Trump — each priced in real-time implied odds. Updated October 2026.
presidential race · Senate & House control · primaries & nominees
conflict & ceasefire · sanctions & diplomacy · leadership changes
2028 nomination · approval rating · indictment & legal
approval ratings · cabinet & appointments · legislation
Polymarket is a prediction market, not a sportsbook: instead of fixed sportsbook lines, every politics outcome trades as a share whose price is the crowd's live implied probability. A favorite at 70¢ is the market's 70% pick; back the other side and you're buying the underdog cheap. When the result lands, winning shares pay $1.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: these pages pull the same live Polymarket odds and 24h volume as the interactive politics grid, show which wallets are trading each market, and rank the sharpest politics traders on the leaderboard. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
Tracking live Polymarket markets across 4 political markets right now — $8.13M of combined 24h volume in the sampled set. Updated October 2026.