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Polynyx · Independent Polymarket analytics, smart money tracking & $POLY airdrop checker · Not affiliated with Polymarket.

PolynyxPolitics
Live odds · updated October 2026

Polymarket Politics — Live Odds & Prediction Markets

Live odds and prediction markets across US politics on Polymarket — Trump, elections, Congress and geopolitics, sorted by what's hottest right now.

Polymarket runs live prediction markets across 4 political markets right now — Elections, Geopolitics, Trump — each priced in real-time implied odds. Updated October 2026.

Open the live politics gridTop politics traders

Elections

presidential race · Senate & House control · primaries & nominees

All Elections odds
  1. 1Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep67%R Senate, D House26%+2 more$3.53M24h vol
    Democrats Sweep67%R Senate, D House26%+2 more

Geopolitics

conflict & ceasefire · sanctions & diplomacy · leadership changes

All Geopolitics odds
  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes2%+1 more$1.29M24h vol
    Yes2%+1 more
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

Trump

2028 nomination · approval rating · indictment & legal

All Trump odds
  1. 1Trump out as President before 2027?Yes4%+1 more$15.7K24h vol
    Yes4%+1 more
  2. 2Presidential Election Winner 2028

US Politics

approval ratings · cabinet & appointments · legislation

All US Politics odds
  1. 1Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Kamala Harris7%Hunter Biden0%$29.0K24h vol
    Kamala Harris7%Hunter Biden0%

Betting on politics with Polymarket prediction markets

Polymarket is a prediction market, not a sportsbook: instead of fixed sportsbook lines, every politics outcome trades as a share whose price is the crowd's live implied probability. A favorite at 70¢ is the market's 70% pick; back the other side and you're buying the underdog cheap. When the result lands, winning shares pay $1.

Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: these pages pull the same live Polymarket odds and 24h volume as the interactive politics grid, show which wallets are trading each market, and rank the sharpest politics traders on the leaderboard. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.

Polymarket politics — frequently asked

What political markets can I bet on with Polymarket?
Polymarket runs prediction markets across Trump, US Politics, Elections, Geopolitics and more. Polynyx lists every live market with real-time implied odds and 24h volume, hottest first, and links each to its full market page.
How do politics prediction markets work on Polymarket?
Each outcome trades as a share priced between 0¢ and 100¢ — the price is the market's implied probability. Winning shares settle at $1 and losing shares at $0 when the event resolves, so the odds and the payout are a single number. Prices move live as traders buy and sell.
Are Polymarket politics odds live?
Yes. Polynyx reads live Polymarket prices, so the implied odds and 24h volume on these pages update in real time — and game-line markets swing in-play as the match is being played.

Tracking live Polymarket markets across 4 political markets right now — $8.13M of combined 24h volume in the sampled set. Updated October 2026.

2
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%39%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%38%+4 more
$647K24h vol
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%39%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%38%+4 more
  • 3Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia73%Student List – Students Win28%$518K24h vol
    Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia73%Student List – Students Win28%
  • 4Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D)64%Ken Paxton (R)36%$290K24h vol
    James Talarico (D)64%Ken Paxton (R)36%
  • Yes98%
    +1 more
    $526K24h vol
    Yes98%+1 more
  • 3Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot51%Benjamin Netanyahu28%+5 more$352K24h vol
    Gadi Eizenkot51%Benjamin Netanyahu28%+5 more
  • 4US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes80%+1 more$346K24h vol
    Yes80%+1 more
  • Ivanka Trump
    1%
    Donald Trump Jr.1%
    $14.0K24h vol
    Ivanka Trump1%Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • 3Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes23%+1 more$12.4K24h vol
    Yes23%+1 more
  • 4Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes8%+1 more$12.1K24h vol
    Yes8%+1 more
  • 2
    Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
    Yes4%+1 more
    $2.5K24h vol
    Yes4%+1 more
  • 3Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?Yes1%+1 more$1.5K24h vol
    Yes1%+1 more
  • 4Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Yes1%+1 more$61024h vol
    Yes1%+1 more