Live odds and prediction markets on movies and TV — box office, streaming and release dates on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Movies & TV markets right now (updated October 2026). As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Movies & TV market is “"You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)”, where 19.5-21M is the favorite at 38% implied odds on $27.3K of 24h volume.
Movies & TV markets on Polymarket price entertainment outcomes: opening-weekend and total box-office thresholds, Netflix and streaming chart performance, release-date and renewal questions, and casting announcements. Each is a live implied probability that moves with trailers, reviews and release-date news.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a nomination leak, a trailer drop or a casting announcement re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live movies & tv odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest movies & tv traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Movies & TV market is “"You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)”, where 19.5-21M is the favorite at 38% implied odds on $27.3K of 24h volume.
| # | Market | Current odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets) 19.5-21M38%18-19.5M33%+4 |
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Movies & TV markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Movies & TV PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x5095… | +$125K |
| 2 | 0x9199… | +$67.8K |
| 3 | Ox79879657hjgdsghgdj98090klfdkld |
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Movies & TV odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Movies & TV trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) |
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
| 2 | "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets) 21-22.5M54%22.5-24M27%+3 Open$24.7K 24h |
| 3 | "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office 22m-25m58%<22m38%+1 Open$23.6K 24h |
| 4 | "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office 12m-14m52%10m-12m47%+2 Open$21.7K 24h |
| 5 | "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office 8-11M95%<8M5%+1 Open$17.3K 24h |
| 6 | What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27) Love Is Blind: Boston76%Nobody Wants This: Season 310%+2 Open$9.7K 24h |
| 7 | "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office <2M98%2-3M1%+3 Open$5.9K 24h |
| 8 | What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 27) Nobody Wants This: Season 359%Below: Limited Series32%+5 Open$4.2K 24h |
| 9 | What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 27) Below: Limited Series66%Nobody Wants This: Season 332%+6 Open$2.7K 24h |
| 10 | Highest grossing movie in 2026? Spider-Man: Brand New Day94%Avengers: Doomsday6% Open$2.4K 24h |
| 11 | Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Oct 26 at ___? $90-$1007%$100-$1107%+4 Open$1.4K 24h |
| 12 | What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 27) Nobody Wants This: Season 338%Love Is Blind: Boston22%+2 Open$1.4K 24h |
| 13 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $70 end of October? Yes6%+1 Open$1.3K 24h |
| 14 | What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 27) Animals42%Gladiator II39% Open$1.2K 24h |
| 15 | What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 27) Gladiator II3%Ice Age3%+2 Open$1.1K 24h |
| +$59.5K |
| 4 | golfpro2025 | +$50.0K |
| 5 | kyIiandictador | +$39.6K |
| Included |
| Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Movies & TV markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Movies & TV trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |