Live odds and prediction markets on awards season — the Oscars, Grammys, Emmys and more on Polymarket.
Polymarket has 24 live Awards markets right now (updated October 2026). As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Awards market is “Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner”, where Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky is the favorite at 23% implied odds on $5.8K of 24h volume.
Awards markets on Polymarket open around the major ceremonies — the Oscars, Grammys, Emmys and Golden Globes — pricing each category's winner on a multi-nominee board. Odds move with precursor awards, screeners and campaign momentum in the run-up to each show.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a nomination leak, a trailer drop or a casting announcement re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live awards odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest awards traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
24 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Awards market is “Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner”, where Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky is the favorite at 23% implied odds on $5.8K of 24h volume.
| # | Market | Current odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky23%Octane - Don Toliver23%+6 |
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Awards markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Awards PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blobfish | +$12.5K |
| 2 | 123zxc | +$9.5K |
| 3 | luckymanisme |
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Awards odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Awards trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) |
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
| 2 | Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes7%+1 Open$3.7K 24h |
| 3 | Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? The Odyssey84%Dune: Messiah15%+1 Open$2.1K 24h |
| 4 | Will Dillon Dingler win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? Yes94%+1 Open$1.3K 24h |
| 5 | Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo45%Lux - Rosalía24%+3 Open$1.3K 24h |
| 6 | Esports Awards 2026: Esports Supporting Service of the Year GRID Esports23%Character Select Agency5%+5 Open$1.0K 24h |
| 7 | Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? Yes86%+1 Open$999 24h |
| 8 | MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner Pete Crow-Armstrong97%Gabriel Moreno3% Open$900 24h |
| 9 | Esports Awards 2026: Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Red Bull69%Logitech G12%+1 Open$725 24h |
| 10 | Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! - RAYE32%drop dead - Olivia Rodrigo3%+2 Open$462 24h |
| 11 | Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes59%+1 Open$419 24h |
| 12 | MLB: 2026 AL MVP Yordan Alvarez95%Cam Schlittler2%+1 Open$398 24h |
| 13 | MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner Bobby Witt Jr.44%Ceddanne Rafaela20%+3 Open$363 24h |
| 14 | Esports Awards: Esports Personality of the Year Thug19%Clix10%+2 Open$337 24h |
| 15 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes98%+1 Open$331 24h |
| +$9.5K |
| 4 | just.some.guy.2026 | +$7.7K |
| 5 | IPrayforMyLife | +$6.6K |
| Included |
| Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Awards markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Awards trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |