US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? — frequently asked

What are the odds for "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?" on Polymarket?

Polymarket traders currently price it at Yes 42% · No 59%. Polymarket prices are implied probabilities: a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens trades at its probability in cents. Resolves by Nov 15, 2026.

Who is the smart money on "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?"?

Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). Polynyx ranks every wallet by realized profit and consistency, then shows which side the ranked wallets hold on this market, their average entry and how much they have invested. Premium opens every smart wallet by name, with its P&L and full trade history.

How much has been traded on "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?"?

24h volume $16.3K, liquidity $36.7K. Volume and liquidity come straight from Polymarket; Polynyx adds the holder book, the live trade tape and whale-size flags on each trade.

Can I build my own dashboard for "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?"?

Yes. Polydune turns this market into a no-code dashboard — odds over time, smart money by side, holders and the tape as widgets you arrange yourself — and keeps it live from the same Polynyx data. Open the market on Polydune and use the template.