The story
The account appeared on December 26, 2025 and traded one subject: Venezuela. In the hours before the US operation of January 2–3, 2026, it bought "Maduro out by January 31" at an average of about 7¢ — roughly 437,000 shares.
When the news broke the position was worth over $400K. The timing drew coverage from the Wall Street Journal and NPR and calls in Congress for action on insider trading in prediction markets; the wallet then went quiet.
Some outlets reported regulatory inquiries, but no official finding has been published and the owner has not been identified. The trade remains the textbook example in the debate over information edges on Polymarket.
