The story
anoin123 had done well fading war headlines, reportedly making more than $2M betting the US would not strike Iran. The position kept growing.
When the strikes came on February 28, 2026, Lookonchain reported the account lost about $6.5M in a day — the mirror image of the fresh wallets that bought YES hours before. It is a reminder that every prediction-market jackpot has someone on the other side.