Live Rainbow Six Siege odds and prediction markets — the Six Invitational and global circuit.
Polymarket has 14 live Rainbow Six markets right now (updated October 2026). As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Rainbow Six market is “France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?”, where No is the favorite at 98% implied odds on $8.7K of 24h volume.
Rainbow Six Siege markets on Polymarket follow the global circuit and its showpiece, the Six Invitational, with match money lines and outright winners priced on live implied odds.
A Polymarket market isn't a sportsbook line — it's a live market of shares. Each outcome trades between 0¢ and 100¢, and the price isthe crowd's implied probability: a side at 60¢ is the market's 60% pick. There's no bookmaker setting the number and baking in a margin; the odds move in real time as traders buy and sell, so a roster leak, a map result or an in-game comeback re-prices the market instantly. Back a side you think is mispriced, and winning shares settle at $1 while losing shares go to $0 — the odds and the payout are the same number.
Polynyx is the independent analytics layer on top: it pulls the same live rainbow six odds and 24h volume as the interactive grid, shows which wallets are trading each market, and ranks the sharpest rainbow six traders. You place bets on Polymarket itself; nothing here is financial advice.
14 markets, hottest by 24h volume first.
As of October 2026, the most-traded Polymarket Rainbow Six market is “France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?”, where No is the favorite at 98% implied odds on $8.7K of 24h volume.
| # | Market | Current odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? Yes2%+1 Open$8.7K 24h |
The wallets with the most realized profit inside Rainbow Six markets — rebuilt from on-chain trades, bots filtered out. Follow their positioning before you bet.
| # | Trader | Rainbow Six PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | KYLElusi | +$9.4K |
| 2 | JoeTheMeteorologist | +$9.1K |
| 3 | BankrollTraders |
The free tier shows the shapeof the edge — live odds, volume and the full leaderboard. Premium names and quantifies it: who's buying, how good they really are, and the model picks as they fire.
| Capability | Free | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Live Rainbow Six odds, 24h volume & hot markets | Included | Included |
| Full Rainbow Six trader leaderboard (ranked by realized PnL) |
Polynyx is independent analytics, not a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
| 2 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? Yes5%+1 Open$3.3K 24h |
| 3 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? Yes1%+1 Open$2.0K 24h |
| 4 | Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs FaZe Clan (BO3) - Challenger League Playoffs FaZe Clan73%LOS27% Upcoming$1.5K 24h |
| 5 | Will Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Mobile win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes4%+1 Open$20 24h |
| 6 | Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs FaZe Clan - Game 2 Winner FaZe Clan51%LOS50% Upcoming$0 24h |
| 7 | Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs FaZe Clan - Game 1 Winner FaZe Clan51%LOS50% Upcoming$0 24h |
| 8 | Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Challenger League Playoffs FURIA Esports61%Fluxo W7M39% Upcoming$0 24h |
| 9 | Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner FURIA Esports50%Fluxo W7M50% Upcoming$0 24h |
| 10 | Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner FURIA Esports50%Fluxo W7M50% Upcoming$0 24h |
| 11 | Rainbow Six Siege: Dplus vs CAG by VARREL - Game 1 Winner Dplus50%CAG by VARREL50% Live$0 24h |
| 12 | Rainbow Six Siege: Dplus vs CAG by VARREL - Game 2 Winner Dplus50%CAG by VARREL50% Live$0 24h |
| 13 | Rainbow Six Siege: Dplus vs CAG by VARREL (BO3) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Playoffs Dplus51%CAG by VARREL50% Live$0 24h |
| 14 | Will Joe Bart & Lacy Win Jynxzi's R6 2v2 Tournament? Yes96%+1 Open$0 24h |
| +$8.7K |
| 4 | HupSeng | +$8.3K |
| 5 | PoorTurnRich | +$4.7K |
| Included |
| Included |
| Who's buying — smart-money names, ranks & P&L on Rainbow Six markets | Premium only | Included |
| ROI & win rate on every Rainbow Six trader | Premium only | Included |
| Live model picks & sharp-agreement signals, as they fire | Premium only | Included |
| Full trade history & all-time P&L per wallet | Last 30 days | All-time |
| Category breakdowns + best & worst markets per wallet | Premium only | Included |
| Track wallets as one portfolio | 1 wallet | Unlimited |