Updated 11:40 AM
Record · best & worst
Biggest wins
- 1
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Bet Yes · Jan 1, 2027+$22 - 2
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Bet Yes · Dec 31, 2026+$18 - 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Bet Yes · Nov 4, 2026+$15
Biggest losses
- 1
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Bet No · Nov 4, 2026-$66 - 2
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Bet No · Nov 4, 2026-$57 - 3Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Bet No · Nov 4, 2026-$57
Categories
8 categories
Where they trade · positions
Is obliq actually good — or lucky?
Win rate and category P&L across all 8,000 trades.
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