$4.97M of lifetime Polymarket volume and -$432K of realized profit put Carlyle at roughly 99,333 POLY (≈ $9.9K at a $1B valuation) — rank #813 of 1,558 estimated wallets. Polymarket has published no official formula; every assumption below is a slider.
Unconfirmed & approximate — estimated from public trading stats, not official Polymarket data.
Unconfirmed and approximate. Polymarket has said a token and airdrop are planned but has published no criteria, so this is an estimate based on Carlyle's public trading stats, modeled on historical DEX/perps airdrops (dYdX, ARB, HL) — volume-weighted with a skill bonus and an anti-sybil cap. Not official Polymarket data, not a promise of any allocation. Your tweaks are saved on this device. Not financial advice.
Unconfirmed and approximate: an estimate based on public Polymarket trading stats (lifetime volume and realized P&L) under adjustable assumptions. Not official Polymarket data, not a promise of any allocation, and not financial advice.